The aggregation of a nearly 200,000-person army on Ukraine’s borders had permanently changed the contours of European security-whether Russia carried through with an invasion or not.
The US and allies should be weighing their military options Barry Pavel is senior vice president and director of the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security.
But as we have already seen, the new Russian menace to Europe will unify NATO allies and EU partners like never before, and in the end, Russian President Vladimir Putin will lose in the face of the West’s strength, unity, and resilience. That will be far more dangerous for our security. In this new era, intermittent crises will ebb and flow. Its nuclear posture to help deter Russian aggression, as Russia now has conventional force superiority in Europe. Its coordination with the European Union (EU) to counter intensified Russian hybrid-warfare efforts (intelligence, cyber, disinformation, etc.) and buttress resilience across members’ homelands.ģ. Its conventional defense posture to deter attacks on and the coercion of its easternmost members.Ģ. In order to counter this Russian triple threat, NATO will need to significantly ramp up its efforts in three core areas:ġ. More broadly, he wants nothing less than to restore as much of the former Soviet dominion as possible by pushing as far west, north, and south with military measures, nuclear saber-rattling, and hybrid-warfare tools. As expected, Putin is planning to forcibly take over all of Ukraine in the current operation. It will be a period of sustained contestation between Russia and the West. The world has now entered a new and far more dangerous era of history. When Russia launched a full-scale military assault across the border of Ukraine last evening, it wasn’t just an attack on Ukraine.
Marc Polymeropoulos: The US can follow the 1980s Afghanistan playbook to back Ukraine We are in a new era of sustained contestation between Russia and the West Peek: History in Chechnya suggests Putin may go big to humiliate the USĪlex Plitsas: Russia is using a freshly sharpened skill set-information operationsĪrun Iyer: Putin delivers a three-part wake-up call Massa: Time for the US to reinforce nuclear deterrenceĬharles Lichfield: Can Russia’s central bank limit the economic damage?Īndrew L. Warrick: The US homeland will be a theater of operations in this war Jump to an expert reactionīarry Pavel: We are in a new era of sustained contestation between Russia and the WestĬhristopher Skaluba: The US and allies should be weighing their military optionsĮmma Ashford: Biden has few good options, but he must use diplomacy to keep this war from spiraling
#WORLD IN CONFLICT GAME GUERRILLAS UPDATE#
Our experts are weighing in with their insights about where this conflict is headed next and how the West can respond. We will update this post as they react to the latest developments in this crisis. With Russia launching a full-scale assault on Ukraine on Thursday, a major war has begun in Europe with sweeping global implications. FebruExperts React: Russia has launched a war against Ukraine.
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